So that type of RTC battery is a Manganese Lithium chemistry rechargeable battery. If some more specs were known this page can calculate the theoretical life span of the battery.
www.maximintegrated.com
"For Manganese Lithium (ML) cells, the maximum number of charge/discharge cycles (cell life) is affected by the depth of discharge (DoD). This calculator estimates ML cell lifetime based upon a given depth of discharge. The calculator uses an estimated cell load to determine approximate backup time versus discharge depth.
As a ML cell is cycled, the capacity at full charge decreases. This means that that it will take less time to reach a given depth-of-discharge as the cell is cycled. This calculator does not take into account the reduced capacity during use, but is intended to serve as a first approximation of cell life."
This application note discusses how to calculate the approximate cell life, based upon cell capacity, load, and depth of discharge.
www.maximintegrated.com
"ML secondary (rechargeable) cells are a relatively new technology, with some important advantages over primary (rechargeable) lithium coin cells (typically CR and BR). Some ML cells are capable of withstanding standard IR reflow profiles, while primary lithium batteries cannot. Using an ML cell can simplify the manufacturing process, eliminating the need to place the coin cell on a PCB post-reflow. A primary cell must either be sized to provide backup power over the expected life of the product, or provisions must be made for the cell to be replaced. While an ML cell has a lower energy density than a primary lithium cell, the ML cell can, in some applications, have smaller capacity, because it is recharged between uses. This allows for a smaller cell, decreasing the required PCB space. An advantage of the ML cell is its relatively low self-discharge rate (compared to capacitors, NiMH, and NiCad batteries) of approximately 1% per year, which allows extended life when the current load is small.
ML cells require a regulated-voltage charging source. Maxim has integrated the required charging source into a family of RTCs. The stand-alone DS12R885 has the charger on chip. In addition, there are module products that include the battery, charger, and RTC in a BGA package.
One issue with secondary cells is the number of charge/discharge cycles that they can withstand during a normal service life. For ML cells, the number of charging cycles is inversely related to the depth of discharge (DoD)."
"Figure 1 shows the effect that depth of discharge has on the number of charging cycles. The data are taken from the manufacturer of an ML614R battery. We can approximate the number of cycles for a given depth of discharge, and then calculate the approximate time to a particular discharge depth by multiplying the depth of discharge by the nominal cell capacity, and dividing by the load current. From there we can approximate the total life during backup (service life) by multiplying the calculated time by the number of expected cycles: total life = %DoD*(capacity/load)*cycles."