Too pessimistic!
Starvis 2 will arrive in our dashcams in 2023 from leading manufacturers.
The first sample sensors arrived a while ago and are currently being tested, could be on sale this year, but unfortunately are not the ones we are waiting for.
Don't know about AV1, it is already in some fairly low cost devices, so it would be fairly easy for Novatek to add. Not sure they have a good reason to try at the moment though, and we want a decent version, not a low quality version designed for video calls, and although licensing of the codec is free, implementation will not be, so there may be licensing costs for the implementation they use, which may delay its arrival in dashcams until it is seen as an essential.
There is something significant included in Novatek's next processor, but like you say, they are very secretive, so what it is is not public knowledge!
My estimate is based on an actual physical launch of a 2K Starvis 2 sensor dashcam (preferrably front & rear) and not when it arrives in the hand of beta testers or pre-release cameras.
Yes, I definitely am not looking for a 1080P Starvis 2 sensor. 2K is what I'm looking at.
Reason that I'm a bit pessimistic about AV1 in dashcams is...
In addition to AV1 decode, wouldn't a dashcam need AV1 encode?
Yes...There are a lot of TV's and a few mobile processors (Google Tensor released in 2021, and Qualcomm's Snapdragon Gen 2 to be released in 2023) that have built-in AV1 decode capability(meaning you can watch AV1 encoded videos), but none of those devices have AV1
encode capability (meaning you cannot record AV1 videos or in AV1 format).
The essential element of dashcams is recording videos, not just playing videos so therefore a dashcam would need AV1 encode capability.
Once you look at this chart, I don't think I am being pessimistic at all...Only 3 companies have fixed-function hardware AV1 encode (Allegro, Chips&Media, and Intel). I'm not including Dwango because who wants to be using a 720P dashcam in this age
en.wikipedia.org
When I see the likes of Apple, Google, Qualcomm, Samsung, and others release a mobile processor that has fixed-function hardware
encode, then I will be more optimistic that AV1 is around the corner for dashcams.
Since Novatek is very secretive, I can only make an estimate based on where their "indirect" competitors (Apple, Google, Qualcomm, Samsung) are in other places (Phone, TV) that don't relate to dashcams.
Sometimes it is better to be pessimistic than optimistic in case what you are planning or believing does not work out.