Nigel
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Your post makes it sound like we had a disaster in the UKOf course, excess deaths are an issue and in the UK they have indeed come down recently
So lets look at the facts:
- In the UK, deaths first went above average for the time of year in week 19.
- We then had 5 weeks of increasing deaths,
- Followed by 8 weeks of falling deaths,
- Since then we have had 6 contiguous weeks with deaths below average - our epidemic was over 6 weeks ago.
On testing, we are currently doing around twice the testing of the USA, per population, despite the fact that our deaths have been below average for 6 weeks, while the USA epidemic is peaking again with zero chance of getting back down to normal deaths within half a year of the start of the epidemic.
The number of people saved through reduced flu deaths compared to average this year equals 22% of the covid deaths so far, our plans have always considered all deaths, including those yet to come as other countries see second waves.
Interesting to see in the USA, CNN using the UK as an example of how to deal with the epidemic as a whole, rather than how to deal with today's problem:
- "Let us catch up with the UK and our situation will change, if we could get that kind of rapid feedback everything would change. We could safely send our kids back to school.",
- "And it doesn't have to happen, the UK proved, ..., they were able to do this, they did it in less than two months, why can't we?"